How much rain the weather model puts on the slopes above town — from Hoverla down the Prut to Yaremche — and what it expects next. Not a flood warning.
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Yaremche is strung along the Prut gorge, and its floods (паводки, pavodky) arrive from upstream — rain on the slopes under Hoverla reaches town hours later. The July 2008 flood, then the largest in 60 years, killed 25 people across Prykarpattia; the June 2020 storms flooded 285 settlements and destroyed 83 bridges across the oblast. This page reads the weather model along the water's path, mountain to town.
The real warnings come by radio
The official word on flood danger is meteo.gov.ua
A little rain has fallen over Yaremche itself in the last two days — about six millimetres.
Over the next two days the model expects a little rain over Yaremche itself — about four millimetres.
These are weather-model estimates of rain, not measurements — and rain figures are never a flood forecast.
From the high slopes down to town — the order the water travels. Rain up top can reach the valley hours later; rain in town says little about what is coming downstream.
The sports base on the upper Prut, where the river begins under Hoverla, Ukraine's highest peak.
The mountain village where the young Prut starts gathering its side streams.
Where the valley turns and the river carries everything from above on down the gorge.
Every figure here is a weather model’s estimate for an area, not a rain gauge and not a river gauge. The model works on a coarse grid — one mountain valley can catch a storm the model spreads across the whole slope, or misses.
“Через негоду зруйнований водопровід — the water pipeline was destroyed by the storm. On 23–24 June 2020, storms collapsed a road on vul. Hrushevskoho and destroyed the main water pipeline, leaving the whole of Yaremche without water.”
That experience is the honest frame for this page. Heavy rain on the mountains is a reason to be more watchful; calm skies are never a promise of safety. This page can add context — it can never replace the warning chain above.
Plain sentences a presenter can read on air, checked 11 July at 17:03.
Rainfall update for the Prut catchment, from the Open-Meteo weather model.
In the last two days the model estimates about five millimetres of rain over the upper Prut at Zaroslyak, below Hoverla, and about six millimetres over Yaremche itself.
Over the next two days it expects about two millimetres over the upper Prut at Zaroslyak, below Hoverla.
These figures come from a weather model — they are estimates, not measurements, and they are not a flood warning.
If heavy rain is falling above Vorokhta and Mykulychyn, expect the Prut in Yaremche to run higher in the hours that follow — watch the official warnings from meteo.gov.ua and local channels, not just the sky over town.
Updated 11 July at 17:03. Rainfall figures are model estimates from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0), read at the points named above; high-slope points use an elevation setting so the model downscales to that height. No river-level gauge feeds this page — none is publicly available here.
The long village just upstream of Yaremche — water passing here reaches town soon after.
The town, built along the Prut where the gorge narrows.